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\u6211\u4eec\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a\u539f\u59cb\u9884\u8b66\u4fe1\u606f\u8f93\u5165\u7684\u4f5c\u6cd5\u66f4\u52a0\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u5f3a\u5316\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u7ba1\u7406\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u503c\u5f97\u6307\u51fa\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5bf9\u62bc\u54c1\u80a1\u7968\uff08\u7ec4\u5408\uff09\u8d37\u6b3e\u671f\u9650\u5185\u4ef7\u683c\u53d8\u52a8\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5bf9\u5386\u53f2\u4ef7\u683c\u4f5c\u7b80\u5355\u7b97\u672f\u5e73\u5747\u5b9e\u8d28\u4e0a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6b64\u524d\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u5f53\u65e5\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u5bf9\u660e\u5929\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u90fd\u662f\u76f8\u540c\u7684\uff0c\u8fd9\u663e\u7136\u662f\u7c97\u7cd9\u7684\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u589e\u52a0\u9884\u6d4b\u7cbe\u5ea6\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u5e94\u8be5\u91c7\u7528\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\u7b49\u6280\u672f\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u91c7\u7528Brown\u5e73\u6ed1\u7b49\u6570\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5efa\u7acb\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u6790\u7b49\u66f4\u4e3a\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u91c7\u7528\u76ee\u524d\u56fd\u9645\u6d41\u884c\u7684VaR\uff08Value at Risk\uff09\u6d4b\u91cf\u6807\u51c6\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u901a\u901a\u90fd\u662f\u7531\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u6765\u8fd0\u884c\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u7535\u8111\u6280\u672f\u652f\u6301\u4e5f\u76f8\u5f53\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5bf9\u62bc\u54c1\u80a1\u7968\uff08\u7ec4\u5408\uff09\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u9884\u8b66\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u91cd\u8981\u5173\u6ce8\u6307\u6807\u5c31\u662f\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u8be5\u80a1\u7968\uff08\u7ec4\u5408\uff09\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\uff08Volatility\uff09\u3002\u663e\u800c\u6613\u89c1\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u67d0\u4e00\u80a1\u7968\uff08\u7ec4\u5408\uff09\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u662f\u5411\u4e0a\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u6ce2\u52a8\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u5373\u5176\u4ef7\u683c\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u5f88\u5dee\uff0c\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u5927\u8d77\u5927\u843d\uff0c\u8fd9\u8bf4\u660e\u8be5\u80a1\u7968\uff08\u7ec4\u5408\uff09\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u4e5f\u662f\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u7684\u6d4b\u91cf\u5728\u6570\u5b66\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e00\u79cd\u662f\u64cd\u4f5c\u8f83\u4e3a\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u65b9\u5dee\uff08Variance\uff09\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u5219\u662f\u5229\u7528\u65b0\u5174\u7684ARCH\u65cf\u6a21\u578b\u6d4b\u91cf\u5176\u52a8\u6001\u7684\u65f6\u53d8\u5f02\u65b9\u5dee\u3002\u4e8c\u8005\u7684\u533a\u522b\u53ef\u4ee5\u7b80\u5355\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\uff1a\u524d\u8005\u65b9\u5dee\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e8e\u7b80\u5355\u7b97\u672f\u5e73\u5747\uff0c\u800c\u540e\u8005\u5f02\u65b9\u5dee\u5219\u66f4\u8c61\u5177\u6709\u9884\u6d4b\u610f\u5473\u7684\u52a0\u6743\u5e73\u5747\/\u5e73\u6ed1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u548c\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u4e34\u754c\u503c\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u6fc0\u6d3b\u9884\u8b66\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u63d0\u9192\u6709\u5173\u90e8\u95e8\u91c7\u53d6\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u9632\u8303\u6216\u63a7\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\u4ef7\u683c\u6709\u4e86\u5bf9\u5173\u4e8e\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u53ef\u64cd\u4f5c\u6027\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u6700\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u673a\u5236\u5c31\u662f\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e8e\u671f\u8d27\u4ea4\u6613\u5efa\u7acb\u4e8c\u7ea7\u4fdd\u8bc1\u91d1\u5236\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u8bc1\u5238\u8d28\u62bc\u878d\u8d44\u4e1a\u52a1\u4e2d\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u8865\u507f<\/strong><\/p>\n

1\u3001\u6298\u6263\u7387\u7684\u8bbe\u7f6e<\/p>\n

\u8bbe\u8ba1\u5408\u7406\u7684\u6298\u6263\u7387\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e24\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8003\u8651\uff1a\uff081\uff09\u8bc1\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u8981\u6c42\u5efa\u7acb\u5408\u7406\u7684\u6298\u6263\u7387\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4e3a\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u98ce\u9669\u63d0\u4f9b\u8865\u507f\u673a\u5236\uff1b\uff082\uff09\u8bc1\u5238\u516c\u53f8\u4ee5\u8bc1\u5238\u4e3a\u8d28\u62bc\u5411\u94f6\u884c\u878d\u8d44\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u79cd\u4fe1\u7528\u653e\u5927\u7684\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u5373\u8bc1\u5238\u516c\u53f8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5faa\u73af\u8fd0\u7528\u80a1\u7968\u5411\u94f6\u884c\u878d\u8d44\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u7528\u65b0\u589e\u8d44\u91d1\u8d2d\u4e70\u80a1\u7968\u7ee7\u7eed\u8fdb\u884c\u878d\u8d44\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u6298\u6263\u7387\u53ef\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u94f6\u884c\u8d44\u91d1\u8fc7\u5206\u9677\u5165\u5230\u63a8\u52a8\u8bc1\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u6076\u6027\u5faa\u73af\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e0d\u540c\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u3001\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u7684\u8bc1\u5238\u5e94\u8be5\u7ed9\u4e88\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6298\u6263\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u80a1\u7968\u8d28\u62bc\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4f18\u8d28\u7684\u6d41\u901a\u80a1\u7684\u6298\u6263\u7387\u5e94\u8be5\u7a0d\u4f4e\uff0c\u800c\u8f6c\u914d\u80a1\u3001\u56fd\u5bb6\u80a1\u3001\u6cd5\u4eba\u80a1\u7b49\u7684\u6298\u6263\u7387\u5e94\u8be5\u8981\u9ad8\u4e00\u4e9b\uff0c\u5176\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u6298\u6263\u6c34\u5e73\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u7efc\u5408\u6d4b\u7b97\u98ce\u9669\u548c\u6536\u76ca\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e88\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n

2\u3001\u5728\u8d37\u6b3e\u5b9a\u4ef7\u4e2d\u52a0\u6536\u5408\u7406\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u6ea2\u4ef7<\/p>\n

\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u662f\u8d37\u6b3e\u8d44\u91d1\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u6210\u672c\u548c\u98ce\u9669\u90fd\u8981\u5728\u8d37\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u4e2d\u5f97\u5230\u8865\u507f\uff0c\u4f46\u666e\u901a\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e2d\u4e00\u822c\u53ea\u9700\u8981\u8003\u8651\u8d44\u91d1\u7b79\u96c6\u6210\u672c\u3001\u8fd0\u8425\u6210\u672c\u5206\u644a\u3001\u4fe1\u7528\u98ce\u9669\u6ea2\u4ef7\u3001\u671f\u9650\u7ed3\u6784\u6ea2\u4ef7\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u800c\u80a1\u7968\u8d28\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u5219\u8fd8\u8981\u5728\u6b64\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u5bf9\u6240\u7279\u6709\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u786e\u5b9a\u5176\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u6ea2\u4ef7\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6709\u4ef7\u8bc1\u5238\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u7684\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c2\u7167\u94f6\u884c\u5229\u7387\u6216\u56fd\u503a\u56de\u8d2d\u5229\u7387\u6765\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5e94\u8be5\u6839\u636e\u8bc1\u5238\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u8d44\u4fe1\u5ea6\u3001\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u7387\u3001\u98ce\u9669\u63a7\u5236\u80fd\u529b\u7b49\u60c5\u51b5\u4f5c\u4e00\u5b9a\u5e45\u5ea6\u7684\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u4e00\u5b9a\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7684\u6d6e\u52a8\u3002
\n\u4f46\u662f\u5982\u679c\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e86\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u6298\u6263\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u4fdd\u8bc1\u62bc\u54c1\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u503c\u65f6\u523b\u5927\u4e8e\u8d37\u6b3e\u672c\u91d1\uff0c\u5219\u8d37\u6b3e\u5b9a\u4ef7\u4e2d\u4e5f\u53ef\u4e0d\u4f53\u73b0\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u6ea2\u4ef7\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e8c\u8005\u7684\u5b9e\u8d28\u90fd\u662f\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u8865\u507f\uff0c\u4e24\u79cd\u673a\u5236\u5728\u5177\u4f53\u64cd\u4f5c\u4e2d\u662f\u4e92\u8865\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff08\u4e09\uff09\u4ece\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u7ba1\u7406\u89d2\u5ea6\u8003\u5bdf\u8bc1\u5238\u8d28\u62bc\u878d\u8d44\u4e2d\u7684\u98ce\u9669<\/strong><\/p>\n

1\u3001\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u5e94\u5f53\u4ece\u603b\u91cf\u4e0a\u5bf9\u8bc1\u5238\u8d28\u62bc\u878d\u8d44\u8fdb\u884c\u63a7\u5236<\/p>\n

\u8bc1\u5238\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u7684\u507f\u8fd8\u80fd\u529b\u8981\u53d7\u5230\u516c\u53f8\u8d44\u672c\u91d1\u5927\u5c0f\u3001\u51c0\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u7387\u9ad8\u4f4e\u4ee5\u53ca\u8d44\u4fe1\u5ea6\u60c5\u51b5\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5236\u7ea6\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u5e94\u5f53\u5728\u4e25\u683c\u9009\u62e9\u8bc1\u5238\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u5408\u7406\u786e\u5b9a\u8bc1\u5238\u8d28\u62bc\u878d\u8d44\u7684\u603b\u89c4\u6a21\u3002\u8003\u8651\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u8d22\u52a1\u60c5\u51b5\u516c\u5f00\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0d\u9ad8\u3001\u8bc1\u5238\u516c\u53f8\u8d22\u52a1\u72b6\u51b5\u900f\u660e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4f18\u5148\u7b49\u5b9e\u9645\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u56e0\u7d20\u66f4\u662f\u5e94\u8be5\u4e88\u4ee5\u4e25\u5bc6\u76d1\u6d4b\uff0c\u5e76\u53ca\u65f6\u4e88\u4ee5\u8c03\u6574\u3002<\/p>\n

2\u3001\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u5e94\u8be5\u5173\u6ce8\u8bc1\u5238\u8d28\u62bc\u878d\u8d44\u4e2d\u7684\u96c6\u4e2d\u5ea6\u548c\u8d37\u6b3e\u7ed3\u6784\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fdd\u8bc1\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u5206\u6563\u5ea6\uff0c\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u5e94\u8be5\u5173\u6ce8\u8bc1\u5238\u8d28\u62bc\u878d\u8d44\u7684\u96c6\u4e2d\u5ea6\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e3b\u8981\u5e94\u8be5\u8003\u8651\uff1a
\n\uff081\uff09\u540c\u4e00\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u6240\u6709\u54c1\u79cd\u7684\u6709\u4ef7\u8bc1\u5238\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u80a1\u7968\u3001\u503a\u5238\u3001\u53ef\u8f6c\u6362\u503a\u5238\u7b49\uff09\u6240\u5360\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u4e0d\u5f97\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u9650\u989d\uff1b
\n\uff082\uff09\u8003\u8651\u5230\u8bc1\u5238\u5e02\u573a\u51fa\u552e\u7b49\u5b9e\u9645\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u8bc1\u5238\u516c\u53f8\u7528\u4e8e\u62b5\u62bc\u7684\u67d0\u4e00\u79cd\u6709\u4ef7\u8bc1\u5238\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5f97\u8d85\u8fc7\u516c\u53f8\u53d1\u884c\u5728\u5916\u7684\u6240\u6709\u8bc1\u5238\u7684\u4e00\u5b9a\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002
\n\uff083\uff09\u5728\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u4f5c\u8d28\u62bc\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u5bb6\u4e0a\u5e02\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u6d41\u901a\u80a1\uff0c\u4e0d\u5f97\u8d85\u8fc7\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u4e0a\u5e02\u6d41\u901a\u80a1\u7684\u4e00\u5b9a\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff1b
\n\uff084\uff09\u4ee5\u540c\u4e00\u4e0a\u5e02\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u8d28\u62bc\u5728\u4e00\u5bb6\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u53d6\u5f97\u7684\u8d37\u6b3e\u4e0d\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u8d44\u672c\u91d1\u7684\u4e00\u5b9a\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff1b<\/p>\n

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\u4ece\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u9a8c\u770b\uff0c\u5408\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u4f53\u5236\u4e0b\u7684\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u5728\u7ecf\u8425\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u5177\u6709\u5982\u4e0b\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\uff1a<\/p>\n

1\u3001\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u9002\u5e94\u6027<\/p>\n

\u4ece\u4e1a\u52a1\u5f00\u53d1\u770b\uff0c\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u591a\u5143\u5316\u7ecf\u8425\u4e3a\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u4ea7\u54c1\u521b\u5efa\u4e86\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u6781\u5927\u5730\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u3002\u4f8b\u598270\u5e74\u4ee3\u65f6\uff0c\u5efa\u7b51\u878d\u8d44\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5341\u5206\u65fa\u76db\uff0c\u800c\u5efa\u7b51\u878d\u8d44\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u4e13\u4e1a\u7684\u5efa\u7b51\u878d\u8d44\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u4e1a\u52a1\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u62d3\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u4e1a\u52a1\u8303\u56f4\u548c\u65b9\u4fbf\u5ba2\u6237\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u6709\u62b5\u62bc\u54c1\u7684\u957f\u671f\u8d37\u6b3e\u4f5c\u4e3a\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u76843\u5bb6\u5927\u94f6\u884c\u5206\u522b\u6536\u8d2d\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u62b5\u62bc\u94f6\u884c\u6216\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5bf9\u62b5\u62bc\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u63a7\u80a1\u6743\u300280\u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u671f\uff0c\u4e09\u5bb6\u5927\u94f6\u884c\u53c8\u5c06\u4eba\u5bff\u4fdd\u9669\u4e0e\u4f20\u7edf\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u52a1\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u521b\u7acb\u4e86\u201c\u91d1\u878d\u6574\u4f53\u670d\u52a1\u201d\uff08ALL-FINANZ\uff09\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u300290\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u54a8\u8be2\u670d\u52a1\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e09\u5bb6\u5927\u94f6\u884c\u53c8\u901a\u8fc7\u6536\u8d2d\u54a8\u8be2\u516c\u53f8\u548c\u5145\u5b9e\u5206\u884c\u54a8\u8be2\u529b\u91cf\u6765\u62d3\u5c55\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e1a\u52a1\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u94f6\u884c\u5c31\u80fd\u591f\u53ca\u65f6\u6839\u636e\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u53d8\u5316\u8c03\u8282\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u7ecf\u8425\u7ba1\u7406\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u4fdd\u6301\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u9886\u57df\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u521b\u65b0\u4e0d\u65ad\uff0c\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u4e1a\u52a1\u8303\u56f4\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0d\u65ad\u6269\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n

2\u3001\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u670d\u52a1\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u201c\u8d85\u5e02\u5f0f\u201d\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52a1<\/p>\n

\u4ece\u63d0\u4f9b\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u770b\uff0c\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u901a\u8fc7\u5176\u5185\u90e8\u673a\u6784\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e1a\u52a1\u4ea4\u53c9\u548c\u4e0e\u5916\u90e8\u96c6\u56e2\u4e4b\u95f4\u76f8\u4e92\u6301\u80a1\uff0c\u5927\u5927\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u670d\u52a1\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u6548\u7387\u3002\u7279\u522b\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u4e2d\u5c0f\u5ba2\u6237\u65f6\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u7684\u964d\u4f4e\u60c5\u51b5\u66f4\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u5728\u9762\u5bf9\u5ba2\u6237\u65f6\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f9d\u9760\u5176\u63a7\u80a1\u6216\u5168\u8d44\u62e5\u6709\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u62b5\u62bc\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u4fdd\u9669\u516c\u53f8\u3001\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ba1\u7406\u516c\u53f8\u4ee5\u53ca\u54a8\u8be2\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u4ee5\u94f6\u884c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7a97\u53e3\uff0c\u5411\u5ba2\u6237\u63d0\u4f9b\u5305\u62ec\u5b58\u8d37\u6b3e\u3001\u6295\u8d44\u3001\u53d1\u503a\u3001\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u54a8\u8be2\u3001\u7535\u5b50\u670d\u52a1\u3001\u62b5\u62bc\u3001\u4fdd\u9669\u7b49\u5185\u5bb9\u7684\u4e00\u6761\u9f99\u7684\u540e\u7ebf\u670d\u52a1\u3002\u4ee5\u5bf9\u5916\u8d38\u6613\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5ba2\u6237\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u5ba2\u6237\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52a1\u9700\u6c42\u662f\u591a\u5143\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5305\u62ec\u8d38\u6613\u7ed3\u7b97\u3001\u8d38\u6613\u5b58\u8d37\u6b3e\u3001\u53d1\u503a\u3001\u5916\u6c47\u3001\u6295\u8d44\u54a8\u8be2\u3001\u62b5\u62bc\u3001\u4fdd\u9669\u7b49\u591a\u79cd\u4e1a\u52a1\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u5728\u5408\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u4f53\u5236\u4e0b\uff0c\u5ba2\u6237\u53ea\u9700\u8981\u9762\u5bf9\u94f6\u884c\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e2a\u7a97\u53e3\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u94f6\u884c\u96c6\u56e2\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u4e00\u6761\u9f99\u7684\u540e\u7ebf\u670d\u52a1\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u516c\u53f8\u5ba2\u6237\u8fd8\u662f\u4e2a\u4eba\u5ba2\u6237\uff0c\u94f6\u884c\u96c6\u56e2\u4f9d\u9760\u5176\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u4e1a\u52a1\u7f51\u7edc\u4f53\u7cfb\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bbe\u8ba1\u51fa\u6ee1\u8db3\u4e0d\u540c\u5ba2\u6237\u4e0d\u540c\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u4ea7\u54c1\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u53d1\u6325\u603b\u4f53\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u670d\u52a1\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u4e3a\u5ba2\u6237\u63d0\u4f9b\u5145\u5206\u7684\u4fbf\u5229\u548c\u5168\u65b9\u4f4d\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52a1\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u5176\u4e1a\u52a1\u54c1\u79cd\u591a\u6837\uff0c\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u4e0d\u5fc5\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5411\u4e13\u4e1a\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u5728\u4e0d\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6216\u4ee5\u4e0d\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u63d0\u4f9b\u67d0\u4e9b\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52a1\u3002<\/p>\n

3\u3001\u901a\u8fc7\u80a1\u6743\u4ee3\u7406\u5efa\u7acb\u7a33\u5b9a\u3001\u4f18\u8d28\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u5ba2\u6237\u7fa4<\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u53ef\u4ee5\u6301\u6709\u975e\u94f6\u884c\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u5404\u7c7b\u6709\u4ef7\u8bc1\u5238\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f5c\u4e3a\u80a1\u4e1c\u4ee3\u7406\u673a\u6784\u4ee3\u7406\u884c\u4f7f\u80a1\u4e1c\u6743\u529b\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5fb7\u56fd\u7684\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u516c\u53f8\u5ba2\u6237\u4e4b\u95f4\u666e\u904d\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u7d27\u5bc6\u6301\u4e45\u7684\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u8054\u7cfb\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u94f6\u884c\u83b7\u5f97\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u5ba2\u6237\u7fa4\uff0c\u5145\u5206\u4e86\u89e3\u5176\u5ba2\u6237\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5b9e\u73b0\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u63a7\u5236\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u94f6\u884c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4f01\u4e1a\u5177\u6709\u5145\u5206\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5f53\u4f01\u4e1a\u5904\u4e8e\u5173\u952e\u65f6\u671f\u65f6\uff0c\u94f6\u884c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u4f01\u4e1a\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u4f01\u4e1a\u5ea6\u8fc7\u96be\u5173\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u5728\u975e\u94f6\u884c\u90e8\u95e8\u7ec4\u5efa\u516c\u53f8\u65f6\uff0c\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u6301\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u6269\u5927\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u4e1c\u57fa\u6570\uff0c\u6ee1\u8db3\u516c\u53f8\u8d44\u672c\u91d1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff1b\u5f53\u516c\u53f8\u516c\u5f00\u4e0a\u5e02\u540e\uff0c\u94f6\u884c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u6301\u6709\u7684\u201c\u8bc1\u5238\u5b58\u6b3e\u201d\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u5b9e\u9645\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u7b2c\u56db\uff0c\u5f53\u6d89\u53ca\u8d44\u672c\u91cd\u7ec4\u65f6\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u673a\u6784\u6027\u5408\u5e76\u3001\u517c\u5e76\u4ee5\u53ca\u7834\u4ea7\u7b49\u8d44\u4ea7\u91cd\u7ec4\u65f6\uff0c\u5f53\u80a1\u6743\u548c\u503a\u6743\u4e4b\u95f4\u76f8\u4e92\u8f6c\u5316\u65f6\uff0c\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u5177\u6709\u8f83\u4e3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u91d1\u878d\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u80fd\u591f\u5145\u5206\u53d1\u6325\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u8fd0\u8425\u4f18\u52bf\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u5168\u80fd\u94f6\u884c\u5c31\u80fd\u591f\u4ee5\u5176\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u6574\u5408\u5ea6\uff0c\u4fdd\u8bc1\u6574\u4e2a\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e43\u81f3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff08\u4e09\uff09\u3001\u5728\u63a8\u52a8\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u5236\u4ece\u5206\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u5411\u5408\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u8f6c\u6362\u7684\u8fdb\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u7279\u522b\u5173\u6ce8\u5408\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u4f53\u5236\u53ef\u80fd\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5f53\u524d\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc1\u5238\u8d28\u62bc\u878d\u8d44\u4e3a\u5951\u673a\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u4f53\u5236\u4ece\u5206\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u5411\u5408\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u7684\u8f6c\u6362\u5e94\u8be5\u8bf4\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u542f\u52a8\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fdd\u8bc1\u5408\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u4f53\u5236\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u8fd0\u884c\uff0c\u5145\u5206\u5173\u6ce8\u5408\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u4f53\u5236\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u5341\u5206\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u3002\u4ece\u56fd\u9645\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u770b\uff0c\u5408\u4e1a\u7ecf\u8425\u4f53\u5236\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u6307\u8d23\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u52a8\u5305\u62ec\uff1a<\/p>\n

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